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DTN Midday Grain Comments 01/26 10:51
Corn, Soybean and Wheat Futures All Lower at Midday Monday
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents lower at midday Monday; soybean futures are 5
to 6 cents lower; wheat futures are 5 to 9 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents lower at midday Monday; soybean futures are 5
to 6 cents lower; wheat futures are 5 to 9 cents lower. The U.S. stock market
is firmer at midday with the S&P 40 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index is 60
points lower. The interest rate products are firmer. Energy trade is mixed with
crude off .55 and natural gas is 1.40 higher. Livestock trade is mixed after
early strength. Precious metals are sharply higher with gold 114.00 higher.
CORN:
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents lower at midday with early gains fading with
softer spread action as we fade from nearby resistance. Ethanol margins should
continue to hold the range with demand likely light into midweek. The export
wire was quiet today with weekly export inspections still strong at 1.510
million metric tons (mmt), with year-to-date pace at 153%. Basis will likely
remain flat short term. New crop price ratios continue to favor corn with corn
gaining a little to start the week. On the March chart, support is the recent
low at $4.17 with the 20-day moving average above the market at $4.33.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 5 to 6 cents lower at midday with early gains fading as
meal slides while oil continues to hold the top of the range. Meal is 4.00 to
5.00 lower and oil is flat to 10 points higher. South American weather has
shown a bit drier forecasts for Argentina while early harvest runs ahead of
pace in Brazil. Basis will likely remain flat short term. The daily wire was
quiet, with weekly export inspections solid at 1.324 mmt with year-to-date pace
now at 63%. On the March chart, support is the 20-day moving average at $10.58,
with resistance the Upper Bollinger Band at $10.76 the next round up.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 5 to 9 cents lower with selling during the day session
after testing the upper end of the range overnight. Weather for the Plains
looks to warm back to seasonal temps with overall moisture remaining limited
for the west. Matif wheat is solidly lower. Weekly export inspections were OK
at 351,001 metric tons (mt) with year-to-date pace at 118%. On the KC March
chart, support is the 20-day moving average at $5.25, with resistance the Upper
Bollinger Band at $5.36, which we faded back from after testing above overnight.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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